Almeida vs Lewis bets are available for the UFC Fight Night main event in Brazil on Saturday.
Those who bet on UFC never know what to expect from Derrick Lewis, but he’s the +325 underdog to beat Jailton Almeida.
Almeida Eyes Career-Defining Win
There is a reason why Almeida is favored to win with UFC betting odds.
The Brazilian is 19-2 following a submission win over Jairzinho Rozenstruik, which is always a good form guide in the heavyweight division.
Since entering the UFC in 2021, Almeida hasn’t lost. He knocked out Danilo Marques before submitting Parker Porter and Anton Turkalj in 2022, which is an ideal form.
Our only worry is that he hasn’t faced the same level of opposition as Lewis, but he’s the more professional fighter.
He was meant to be fighting Curtis Blaydes, which could have set him up for a title shot in 2024. It’s an unfortunate setback because beating Lewis doesn’t give him much more momentum.
Bettors don’t get massive odds for Almeida, the -450 favorite for UFC Fight Night. It’s a short price, but it’s not surprising given that he’s fighting in front of a home crowd.
He needs to avoid getting hit with a big Lewis right hand. Lewis has knocked out many opponents, and he is a much heavier fighter, so he can impose his power.
However, Almeida is technically better, and if the fight gets to the ground, it’s all over for Lewis.
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Lewis Back in the Hunt
Bettors could see the value in Almedia vs Lewis bets, especially if they’re for Lewis.
The despised outsider usually fights as the underdog, but considering it took him just 33 seconds to knock out Marcos Rogerio de Lima, he’s hard to overlook.
“I just wanted to go out there and show everyone that I still have it. I really haven’t been healthy and I felt like, the best I’ve ever been in my life going into that fight I just had so much energy, I just felt like I could fly, so that’s what I did,” Lewis said.
The 38-year-old, who makes it no secret that he keeps fighting for the money, is always a threat to knock someone out.
He’s also a menace, and he was recently arrested for doing 136 mph in a 50 mph zone, so his mindset might not be in the best place later this week.
However, with his main event appearance in Brazil, he has had the most main event fights for any non-champion in the UFC.
It’s dangerous to bet against Lewis because he owns 27 wins. He also has 11 losses, but he’s looking for a first-round knockout, and he’s a threat to stun the crowd.
Almeida by Submission
Our Almeida vs Lewis bets have Almedia winning by submission.
He is the more promising UFC fighter at 19-2, and this is his time to show the UFC his title ambitions.
We are always weary of betting against Lewis in a main event, but Almeida is likely to get the fight to the ground and submit Lewis without much fuss.
He’s too dynamic for the underdog, and based on his history of winning by submission, it’s a smart wager.