End of Round One NFL Draft Betting Strategy

Seeking Wagering Value on Potential First Round Picks

The NFL Draft has turned into a bit of a spectacle. Now covering three days, the draft receives more media attention than some of the games. The sportsbooks took notice and now the number of bets offered on the NFL Draft is staggering. You can wager on when players will be selected, what position teams draft for with their first pick and more. One of the more challenging wagers is betting on a particular player to be drafted in the first round. You won’t find the Bryce Youngs or C.J. Strouds on the list. Instead, you’ll find players who will likely go anywhere from No. 20 through No. 50. But the draft doesn’t always go as expected, so you’ll need an end of Round One NFL Draft betting strategy.

All it takes is one team to turn a likely second-round draft choice into a first-round selection. If one team really wants a particular player, they’ll ‘reach’ and take that player higher than the other teams will. Sometimes it pans out. Other times it does not. But that’s what makes the NFL Draft and betting on the draft so much fun.

Panthers logo Calijah Kancey -210

The odds are steep on Kancey being selected in the first round. At odds of -210, it implies about a 68% chance Kancey is selected in the first round. But that’s likely a bit low. Detroit seems like a possible landing spot for the former Pitt Panther defensive lineman.

If he slips past Detroit – Seattle, Minnesota and Cincinnati will likely be interested. Kancey is the type of player who may not step in right away but the talent is there. He’ll help any defense improve their NFL team stats. He’s a bit on the small side, but his athleticism is amazing. You hate to lay those types of odds, but Kancey has about a 75% chance of being taken in the first round. That gives him a bit of value here.

Volunteers logo Herndon Hooker +100

This is where your end of Round One NFL Draft betting strategy can pay off. Hooker is likely to be the fifth quarterback selected. The question will be if any team wants Hooker towards the bottom of the first round. The Vikings are one possibility.

Hooker is a bit of a risk due to the injury and his age (26) but it’s easy to see somebody trading up or down and taking a shot on Hooker in the first round. But he’s apparently cleared all medical tests after his ACL injury and should be close to full speed in June. So, Hooker is worth a play at even money.

Crimson Tide logo Jahmyr Gibbs +280

Gibbs is definitely worth a shot at +280. The speedster coming out of Alabama does pretty much everything teams want to see out of a running back. He’s a good receiver out of the backfield. His 4.36 40 time makes it hard for linebackers to cover him. And being a running back doesn’t hurt his draft stock.

Even teams set at the position might not be able to pass up Gibbs around No. 28. An offense can never have too many offensive weapons. Therefore, Gibbs at +280 makes sense as a value play.

Buckeyes logo Dawand Jones +350

Using any sort of end of Round One NFL Draft betting strategy will likely have you making a play on Jones. Especially when you’re looking at odds of +350 on the big man from Ohio State. A bet on Jones will likely lead to the same anxious moments you get when making your NFL picks and parlays.

The team most likely to draft Jones in the first round is Kansas City. But the Chiefs have the last pick in the round, so expect to to sweat this one out. It wouldn’t be a total shock if Jones goes in the late 20s. But his odds suggest there is a good chance he falls to the second round. Jones is too good to pass up at these odds.

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