Green Bay Can Reach the .500 Mark With A Win Over the Reigning Super Bowl Champs
It is impossible to think about the Chiefs vs Packers game highlights over the years without looking back to the first Super Bowl that was won by Green Bay. There is not quite as much on the line in this matchup with Kansas City, the road favorite on Sunday night.
This is the 14th meeting between the teams, with the Chiefs leading the all-time series 8-4-1.
When looking at the 2023 NFL standings, Green Bay is 3-2 at home this season, with Kansas City 4-1 on the road. Kansas City has a two-game lead on Denver as the Chiefs go after an unprecedented eighth straight AFC West title. Green Bay is currently in third place in the NFC North but can move into a tie for second with idle Minnesota with a victory.
The NFL betting lines has Kansas City listed as a six-point favorite.
Linebacker Nick Bolton (28 tackles in four games) and running back Jerick McKinnon are questionable for Kansas City, while receivers Skyy Moore (20 catches), Rashee Rice (44 catches), Kadarius Toney, defensive backs L’Jarius Sneed (53 tackles, two interceptions) and Bryan Cook (35 tackles) and offensive lineman Donovan Smith are expected to play.
Cornerbacks Jaire Alexander, Eric Stokes and Robert Rochell, safeties Rudy Ford (58 tackles) and Darnell Savage; linebackers De’Vondre Campbell (52 tackles) and Rashan Gary (8.5 sacks); defensive lineman Kenny Clark (4 sacks), tight end Joshua Deguara, running backs A.J. Dillon (448 yards) and Aaron Jones (245 yards in seven games), receivers Jayden Reed (36 catches) and Dontayvion Wicks (20 catches) are all questionable.
Kansas City has the best odds at +200 of representing the AFC in the Super Bowl, with the reigning Super Bowl champions high up on the list of NFL favorites, with Green Bay eighth at +5000 in the odds of winning the NFC.
The Chiefs (+450) trail only the San Francisco 49ers in the odds of winning the Super Bowl.
Date & time:
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Line: Kansas City -6
Mahomes Looks To Get Going
After scoring just 47 points in the previous three games, Kansas City put up 31 in a win over the Las Vegas Raiders to improve to 3-1 against AFC West teams.
Patrick Mahomes was held under 200 passing yards in back-to-back games for the first time since becoming the starting quarterback for the Chiefs in 2018. He bounced back with 298 yards on 27 of 34 passing with two touchdown passes.
Mahomes was only sacked once. In the eight wins, Mahomes has been sacked 10 times compared to four sacks in the three losses. That could factor into the Chiefs vs Packers odds.
Rookie Rashee Rice is coming off his first career 100-yard receiving game.
Kansas City has covered in five of its last seven games.
Love Getting Passing Grades
Even when Jordan Love had six touchdown passes and no interceptions in the first two games as the unquestioned starting quarterback following Aaron Rodgers being traded to the New York Jets, the skeptics remained.
However, in the last two games, Love has completed 68% of his passes for 590 yards and five interceptions to lead Green Bay to back-to-back wins. Keep that in mind when it comes to the Chiefs vs Packers odds.
There is still some work yet to be done with the Packers sitting with a 5-6 record.
The top receivers Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs, Christian Watson and Dontayvion Wicks are all in their first or second seasons.
The total has finished under in five of Green Bay’s previous six home games.
Patrick Mahomes connected with Travis Kelce in the first quarter, and Harrison Butker added a pair of field goals as Kansas City scored the game’s first 13 points in a 13-7 win.
With Aaron Rodgers out with COVID-19, Jordan Love threw a touchdown pass in the fourth quarter as the Packers covered as seven-point underdogs despite the 13-7 loss.
After six of the last seven games between Kansas City and Green Bay finished over the total, the 2021 matchup fell well short of the 48-point total.
Six of the last eight games between the Packers and Chiefs have been decided by seven points or less.
When it comes to the NFL scores, the last time Kansas City played in Green Bay was in 2015, when the Packers won 38-28 as a 5.5-point favorite. It was the highest-scoring game between the teams since 2003.
Chiefs vs Packers Betting Preview
Kansas City has won eight of its last nine road games and is 16-3 in its last 19 games.
Green Bay has won 10 straight games in December.
The total has gone under in six of Kansas City’s last seven games and in five of Green Bay’s last seven games. The total is set at 42.5 for this matchup.
Kansas City has covered in just 10 of its last 21 games when listed as the road favorite, with Green Bay going 4-1 against the spread as the home underdog during that stretch.
Just three of Kansas City’s games have finished over the total this season, and only five Green Bay contests landed over the total. The 42-point total is the lowest in a Green Bay-Kansas City game since 2007.