New York Giants 2023 Future Odds: Super Bowl, Conference & Division

After what many consider an overachievement in 2022, the New York Giants could now fall short of expectations in 2023. However, the team did improve over the offseason and Brian Daboll has the benefit of the doubt given his coaching chops last year.

But with a tougher schedule and improvements to other teams in their tier, will the 2023 New York Giants stats be sustained or regress?

New York Giants At A Glance

Giants Overperformed in 2022 and are Expected to Regress

The Giants were expected to be one of the worst teams last year. But not only did the team go past its 7.5 regular-season win projection (9-7-1), it also won a playoff game. Daboll won Coach of the Year for helping turn the franchise around and quarterback Daniel Jones also got rewarded handsomely for it. But this season may not be as happy.

For one, the Giants have a disgruntled star running back in Saquon Barkley. The two sides failed to reach a deal and the two-time Pro Bowler has yet to sign his franchise tag tender. This situation could devolve into what happened with Le’Veon Bell and Pittsburgh, who sat out the whole season as Pittsburgh went from a division champion to missing the postseason.

If Barkley does this, both the 2023 New York Giants stats and odds will take a hit given his prolific abilities. But even if he does return, the team faces steep challenges.

For one, the franchise still has mediocre receiving corps. Adding Pro Bowl tight end Darren Waller helps as does signing veterans and drafting Jalin Hyatt. But the team has lacked that true number-one receiver since Odell Beckham Jr. left in 2018.

The defense also needs to step up. Last season, the Giants got exposed by elite offenses like Philadelphia and Detroit. This team plays the AFC East and NFC West this season, two tough divisions.

New York’s projected win total is now at eight and it is expected to miss the playoffs. But the team has proven the odds wrong before.

Super Bowl Odds: Don’t Bank on a 2007/2011 Run

The Giants’ last two Super Bowl victories came as two of the best underdog stories. They were eerily similar as New York made the postseason as Wild Card teams then emerged victorious on a hot run by quarterback Eli Manning and the defense. Unfortunately, Daniel Jones is not that guy.

While the 26-year-old has shown flashes and is a fierce competitor, he’s less talented. Having Barkley and a slightly improved receiving group should help his 2023 New York Giants stats. But this Giants team will get a rude awakening, as it did in 2022 when faced with a significantly better NFC team.

Conference Odds: At Least a Tier Below

Those teams are the Eagles, 49ers, and almost every team on top of the Giants in the standings. The New York Giants roster just can’t beat the depth and talent from Philadelphia, San Francisco, and Dallas. And as far as quarterbacks, Jones is not even better than Detroit’s Jared Goff or the Saints’ Derek Carr.

A lot will have to break in the Giants’ favor for this team to topple the NFC powers. The Giants got outscored 108-45 by the Eagles in their three meetings in 2022. Even if Philadelphia and San Francisco got ravaged by injuries, the Giants will still be hard-pressed to beat either team.

Division Odds: The Worst NFC East Team?

The Giants may have won nine games last season, but they won a grand total of one game against the division. New York tied and beat Washington to go 1-4-1 in the division. The team got swept by both Philadelphia and Dallas. Meanwhile, the Commanders went 2-3-1 and ended Philadelphia’s bid for a perfect season.

There is a legitimate case to make that the Giants are the division’s worst team and its odds of winning the division, at +650, are still too short. If New York wants to be a real contender, it will have to beat Philadelphia and Dallas.

Regular Season Wins: A Much Harder Road

The Giants were the kings of the NFL point spread in 2022. This team went 14-5 against the spread (ATS) with 11 covers (11-3) coming as an underdog. But the Giants owe plenty of their success to a rather easy schedule. The team went just 1-4-1 in the division and went 3-8 against teams that finished with a winning record.

This season, the Giants play eight games against winning teams from 2022. This is not even counting the Jets, Saints, and Rams, who should all be much better this season. Both the Jets and Saints got significantly better quarterbacks while the Rams will be healthy with its stars returning to action. As such, winning 8+ games looks like an intimidating proposition.

To Make Playoffs: Less Room for Error With Crowded Bubble

On top of having a tougher schedule, the Giants must also contend with the rest of the bubble teams that improved. The Rams are healthier and the Bears upgraded arguably the most out of the NFC during the offseason. Detroit is also favored to make the playoffs thanks to ending 2022 with an 8-2 run.

There is also the NFC South. Other than the Buccaneers, the other teams geared up looking to make a run. Carolina has a brand new coaching staff and a revamped offense led by top pick Bryce Young. The Falcons drafted Bijan Robinson who could be an offensive powerhouse. And the Saints will be better with Carr under center.

Thus, the crowded NFC Wild Card picture has the Giants falling out of the playoffs at -200 on the sportsbook.

Side Bets: Pressure is on Jones-Barkley Tandem

The Giants badly need Barkley to sign the tender and return to the team. If he does, look for the ultra-gifted running back to rack up stats as he tends to do if healthy. Barkley had a career-best 1,312 rushing yards in 2022. He also rushed for 10 touchdowns and caught 57 receptions for 338 yards.

Daboll and Co. will continue to squeeze every bit of juice out of Barkley so he’s not a bad bet to win Offensive Player of the Year at 20-1. He may even lead the league in rushing yards at 12-1 on the Las Vegas NFL odds. Of course, this is if he can avoid injury and play at least 16 games.

For NFL betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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