Allen vs Craig betting odds have Brendan Allen at -450 to improve his record to 23-5 against the always-tough Paul Craig. With 27 fights as a 27-year-old, Allen is a unique fighter. Craig has had 24 fights as a 35-year-old, so youth is in the corner of the UFC betting odds favorite.
Submission Game is Strong
Allen’s submission game has been impressive in recent history, including three consecutive wins by sub.The American has had a busy UFC schedule, and he’s making the most of his time in the organization. He’s one of the busiest fighters in the business, and he has been rewarded with a main event.
As Allen vs Craig betting odds suggest, he’s expected to win this fight and progress up the middleweight rankings.He believes a UFC title is a chance.
“I think they realize I will be champion eventually, I’m 27. I’ve still got plenty of time to go. So I think they realized I will be a champion and we’re just taking the proper steps toward that.” Allen said
Despite being a quality wrestler, he’s looking for a knockout win.
“I’m definitely looking to knock him out,” Allen said. “100 percent, I’m looking to knock him out.”
That doesn’t always mean he will knock him out, and getting Craig to the ground would be the best way to win.
Craig Brings the Power
The Scottish fighter might not be the most consistent UFC fighter in the UFC, but he has power in his hands.He’s a +325 underdog with good reason, but that’s mostly because of his opponent and less about his record.
Our UFC bets won’t include Craig to win, but with two knockout wins and a submission victory over the last three years, he can’t be overlooked as a solid upset chance.
Having been in the UFC since 2016 is a positive, and he has had big fights throughout his career. He fought Nikita Krylov and he knocked out Jamahal Hill in 2021, which is an excellent form guide.
Hill is now the light heavyweight champion, so put some respect on Craig’s name. His career didn’t quite take off following that win, but that showcases the power of Craig.
Value with Submission Victory
Allen vs Craig betting odds have Allen by submission at +225.
It’s a great price for the submission specialist, and although he’s hunting a knockout win, we think his coaches will tell him he’s better off taking the fight to the ground.
The shorter odds are to take Allen at -450 to win, but we would only include him at that price with UFC parlays.
We don’t see much value in taking him to win outright considering the odds to win by either submission or knockout.
It should be an exciting fight and we can’t see it going the distance.