New England Patriots 2023 Future Odds
Patriots Improve But Continue to Face Steep Odds
The New England Patriots addressed plenty of needs in the offseason. The team signed key players, hired a real offensive coordinator in Bill O’Brien, and maintain a top-10 defense. Most of this should be enough to move the team up the NFL rankings. But the Pats play in the toughest division in the NFL. Thus, the 2023 New England Patriots stats could even regress given the stacked odds they face.
New England Patriots At A Glance
| Odds to Win | Opening Odds | Current Odds |
| Super Bowl | +6600 | +6000 |
| Conference | +3500 | +3300 |
| Division | +750 | +800 |
| Regular Season Win Total | 7.5 (o-120, uEv) | 7.5 (o+105, u-135) |
| To Make Playoffs | Yes +240, No -300 | Yes +240, No -300 |
Patriots Remain a Dog This 2023
The Patriots endured a rough 2022 season but still managed to finish with an 8-9 record. That’s still under the 8.5 regular-season win total on the NFL betting. Quarterback Mac Jones regressed thanks to a poorly built offense – including having a defensive coordinator call the plays.
The team addressed these issues by re-hiring O’Brien and using five picks on receivers and linemen. It also signed JuJu Smith-Schuster as its new slot receiver. It’s not much, but Jones should have a smoother time under center. Otherwise, Bailey Zappe could supplant him as he performed well in his two starts with the team.
While the offense barely received upgrades, the Patriots made sure to bolster the defense. It reinforced its secondary by drafting Christian Gonzalez with its first-round pick. Then it used the next two picks to take Keion White, an edge rusher, and Marte Mapu as a hybrid linebacker/safety.
The team should once again be in the top 10 in defensive 2023 New England Patriots stats. Bill Belichick remains a defensive guru. The Pats have never finished worse than 11th in points allowed since 2011.
As long as the defense stays solid, New England will continue to win games. The team will rarely be a large underdog on the NFL betting lines. But making the playoffs could be even tougher thanks to the improvements of the AFC contenders around them.
Super Bowl Odds: Missing Brady
The Patriots’ Super Bowl odds would be a bit shorter if Tom Brady was in Mac Jones’s place. As good as Jones has been, he’s not been able to elevate New England’s pedestrian offense. This team won’t win any Super Bowls given its current structure. Even if the odds shortened from 66-1 to 60-1, New England is a longshot at best.
Conference Odds: High Floor, Low Ceiling
Not to pile on Jones, but the Patriots are the type of team to win no fewer than seven games but never be considered a threat. Even when New England made the playoffs two seasons ago, no one feared it. The Bills routed them and clearly exposed how far apart they were from the legitimate Super Bowl contender.
Thus, don’t expect the Pats to play in any NFL championship games. The best to hope for this team is to make the playoffs and maybe an upset win. But against the high-powered elites like Kansas City and Cincinnati, New England is outmatched.
Division Odds: The Best Worst Team
The Patriots could win eight or nine games and still be last in the division. That’s the fate the team faces playing in the AFC East as 8-1 underdogs. Even if one of the NFL teams above them falters, it’s unlikely that the other two do as well. The Bills and Jets are Super Bowl contenders while Miami has had a better record than New England in two of the last three seasons.
New England went 3-3 against the division last season thanks to two wins over the Jets. The Patriots have won 14 straight games against the Jets and Belichick is 35-10 against his former team. But with Aaron Rodgers now leading the Jets’ offense, this streak could be snapped. Thus, the Pats may just be the worst team of the division.
Regular Season Wins: The Hardest Schedule
If you go by last season’s records, New England has the hardest schedule in the NFL. The team has nine games against playoff teams. On top of that, it faces Denver, New Orleans, and Pittsburgh, three teams who could be significantly improved this season.
The 2023 New England Patriots stats could dip because it is going against tough competition. There are no “freebies” in the Pats’ schedule except maybe for Indianapolis, which could still be a tricky team to face. Seeing this, the public quickly steamed the team’s win total to go under 7.5.
To Make Playoffs: Stuck in Purgatory
The Patriots find themselves in an unenviable position. This team is not bad enough to get a top three pick but it is not good enough to make the postseason. Its playoff odds have stayed at +240 and it’s unlikely that the bettors put faith in it.
New England will likely be an underdog in most of its games this season. And the Patriots are just 3-12 as an underdog (1-8 last season) in the last two NFL seasons. The Pats will remain a tough team to play every week. But if you expect Jones to outdo superior quarterbacks, you might be betting on fools’ gold.
Side Bets: The Next Great Cornerback?
Belichick has consistently developed elite cornerbacks in New England. From Ty Law in the early 2000s to Stephon Gilmore in a few seasons ago, the Patriots have had top-tier players from this position. This could be Christian Gonzalez in as early as this season.
The 21-year-old is fifth on the Defensive Rookie of the Year odds at 10-1. He might be worth a bet given Belichick’s track record at molding NFL players like him. The Patriots will boast a defense that will limit NFL box scores and Gonzalez will play a pivotal role with that. Expect him to be in the conversation throughout the season.
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