AC Milan vs Torino Odds: Betting Strategies and Picks
Rossoneri vs. Il Toro at the San Siro
Pulisic Scores on Debut
Three new signings started for AC Milan in their season-opening 2-0 victory over Bologna. Christian Pulisic marked his debut with a long-range strike that found the back of the net. It was an excellent start for a team that should be one of Serie A’s best this season. Meanwhile, Torino played to a scoreless draw vs. Cagliari in their opener. They’ll look to get on the board for the first time this season when they head to AC Milan on Saturday. We’ll cover the AC Milan vs Torino odds for a critical Serie A matchup.
AC Milan vs Torino
Day/Time:
Location: Stadio San Siro, Milan, Italy
Head-to-Head:
Recent meetings on the Serie A schedule have been relatively even between the two sides. In all competitions last season, Torino went 2-1 vs. AC Milan. The Rossoneri have struggled to score vs. Torino in recent matchups, with just three goals in the last five. Still, AC Milan has won the last four Serie A home meetings vs. Torino and kept shutouts in each match.
New Look AC Milan Win Opener
AC Milan did enough to clinch a Champions League berth last season as Juve’s 10-point deduction aided them. Milan certainly had moments in 2022-23 but simply weren’t consistent enough to keep their Scudetto. However, Stefano Pioli’s side managed to reach the Champions League semifinals.
Crucially, winger Rafael Leao, who finished third in the Serie A stats with 23 goal contributions, extended his stay at the San Siro and could be the Rossoneri’s most important player this season. On Monday, he and AC Milan went on the road to Bologna to open up their 2023-24 campaign. It didn’t take long for the Rossoneri to get on the board as Olivier Giroud put them ahead in the 11th minute. Former Chelsea winger Christian Pulisic also scored on his debut by firing a rocket into the net from outside the box. The US international never quite held down a starting spot at Chelsea but could emerge as a critical player for the Rossoneri.
New midfielders Tijjani Reijnders and Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Pulisic’s former Chelsea teammate, both started on Monday. AC Milan had several new arrivals this offseason, as Samuel Chukwueze, Yunus Musah, and Noah Okafor sealed transfers to the San Siro. Milan’s attack should be more dynamic this season, as a result, and they have more depth in midfield. Unsurprisingly, the AC Milan vs Torino odds price the Rossoneri as favorites for this match.
Torino Frequently in the Middle of Pack
Torino has finished in 10th place in the Serie A standings in consecutive seasons. Last year, they were curiously much better on the road than at home. At home, they put together just a 5-7-7 record but went 9-4-6 away from home. Torino couldn’t capitalize on hosting newly-promoted Cagliari in their season opener in a scoreless match.
Both sides had chances, but neither could find a breakthrough during Monday’s match. The result was on brand for Torino, though, as they were frequently involved in low-scoring matches in the 2022-23 season. Just 2.18 goals per game were scored in Torino’s 38 matches last season as under-bettors reaped their rewards.
Don’t expect Torino to suddenly become a team that blows others out of the water this season. Their forward line is virtually the same from last season, and they figure to rely on Antonio Sanabria for goals once again. The Paraguayan forward scored 12 goals last season which was his best-ever single-season haul. With Summer signings Ivan Ilic and Adrien Tameze, Torino prioritized their midfield.
Match Analysis & Odds
Seven of the last nine meetings between AC Milan and Torino have finished with two goals or fewer. Still, over 2, 2.5 goals for the match come in at -120 odds as AC Milan does have some dynamic players in forward areas. Yunus Musah could also debut for Milan in midfield after sealing a transfer from Valencia in the Summer.
Recent meetings between these teams have been close, as each of the last five matches has been decided by a one-goal margin or finished in a draw. The AC Milan vs Torino odds list AC Milan as a one-goal favorite. It’s Torino who shows shorter odds to cover, though, as Il Toro +1 displays -120 odds. Meanwhile, Milan -1 is priced at even odds.
Last season, Milan was quite good at home, with a 13-4-2 record at the Stadio San Siro. They sit at -175 odds to win their home opener in 2023-24. With Torino’s abysmal away record at Milan in Serie A, Torino at +500 doesn’t look to be a great value bet. Punters can also find a draw at +300 odds for Saturday’s game.
For Serie A predictions, odds, and analysis, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
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