Steelers Remain Profitable Despite Signs of Regression

Packers vs Steelers Betting: Pittsburgh Climbs to -3.5 Home Fav

On the heels of a primetime victory over Tennessee, the Pittsburgh Steelers hope to strengthen their bid for an AFC playoff spot. Up next on Sunday (1 p.m. ET) is a date with the Green Bay Packers.

Most bettors continue to zero in on the Steelers, who have grown to 3.5-point favorites (EV) and -170 on the moneyline. Meanwhile, Green Bay is +3.5 (-120) on the spread and +150 to win outright. The total is 39 (-110 Over, -110 Under).

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Read on as we break down both NFL teams and assess the Packers vs Steelers betting odds in our NFL game preview.

Packers logo Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers Steelers logo

Location: Acrisure Stadium; Pittsburgh
Streaming: CBS

Betting Trends

The Green Bay Packers are 1-4 against the spread in the last five games but 4-4 overall. The total has gone Under in five of Green Bay’s last six games. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers are 9-3 ATS in the previous 12 games, including 5-3 this NFL season. The total has gone Under in Pittsburgh’s last six games. That’s important to remember when assessing the Packers vs Steelers betting odds.

Finding Ways to Win

The Pittsburgh Steelers have played their way into the playoff picture as one of three teams in the AFC North at 5-3. They’re coming off extended rest after beating the Tennessee Titans 20-16 on Thursday Night Football in Week 9. A 3-point favorite per NFL gameday odds, Pittsburgh covered the spread for the third time in four games. Notably, three of its five wins ATS this season have come at home.

While the Steelers — one of just two winning teams with a negative point differential — seem primed for some regression, they’re in an encouraging spot against Green Bay.

The Steelers have been vulnerable defensively, giving up 377.3 yards per game (31st in the NFL). Yet they’ve done well to stem the damage. Opponents are averaging only 20.4 points.

T.J. Watt remains a game-changer on the edge, ranking second in the league with 9.5 sacks. Accordingly, Watt is a +200 co-favorite for NFL Defensive Player of the Year, along with Dallas‘ Micah Parsons and Cleveland’s Myles Garrett. Nobody else is listed better than 14/1.

Although Pittsburgh is a +900 longshot to win the division — 7-2 Baltimore is currently favored at -145 — oddsmakers are fairly optimistic about the Steelers’ long-term prospects. They’re +120 to make the NFL playoffs, something they’ve done in two of the last three seasons.

Love Failing Big Audition?

Jordan Love’s bid to become the heir apparent to Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay isn’t going as planned. The Packers are just 3-5, and Love is struggling to establish himself as the Packers’ future starter.

Love is averaging only 6.6 yards per attempt and has thrown the second most interceptions (eight) in the NFL. Unsurprisingly, the Packers rank in the bottom 10 in several offensive categories, including scoring (20 PPG). They’ve scored 20 points or fewer in six consecutive NFL games. Keep that in mind when analyzing the Packers vs Steelers betting odds.

Green Bay ended its four-game losing skid in Week 9, beating the Los Angeles Rams 20-3. The Rams, who were without quarterback Matthew Stafford (thumb), managed only 187 yards of total offense. A 3.5-point favorite, Green Bay covered the spread for the first time since Sept. 24 according to scores and odds.

Despite the win, oddsmakers don’t foresee a significant turnaround in Green Bay. The Packers are +250 to make the playoffs, while their NFC North odds have plummeted to +2800.

For better or worse, the Packers have placed their future in Love’s hands. And for the time being, there isn’t a whole lot to get excited about.

Handicapping the Game

Both offenses continue to sputter. However, only one of these teams has been able to overcome those issues. Although the Steelers seem primed for regression, their ability to churn out wins can’t be ignored.

Somehow, someway the Steelers always manage to find themselves in contention for the playoffs. Despite inconsistent quarterback play from Kenny Pickett, this year is no different.

Love and the Packers simply can’t be trusted in this spot. Look for Pittsburgh to take care of business at home.

For NFL odds to win in Week 10, NFL standings and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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