The NFL’s Week 10 slate will kick off in earnest, with the Indianapolis Colts and New England Patriots squaring off Sunday morning (9:30 a.m. ET) in Frankfurt, Germany. After opening as 1-point underdogs, the Colts are now favored by a point.
What other odds have noticeably changed? Let’s take a closer look at the NFL Week 10 key line moves.
Opening Total: Ravens -4.5
Current Total: Ravens -6.5
Around the NFL, there aren’t many teams hotter than Baltimore. Winners of four straight, the Ravens (7-2) have opened a two-game lead atop the AFC North. Accordingly, they’ve watched their Super Bowl odds climb from +1400 to +850 over the last two weeks.
Deshaun Watson is back under center for Cleveland, but the Browns are just 0-2-1 ATS on the road and have failed to cover in six of the last eight meetings with Baltimore. Based on NFL Week 10 key line moves, oddsmakers are betting on those trends continuing.
Opening Total: Lions -1
Current Total: Lions -3
The Chargers (4-4) are back to .500 after their 27-6 beatdown of the New York Jets in primetime. Yet, oddsmakers remain skeptical of their ability to beat quality opponents.
Now the Chargers, coming off a short week, get the resurgent Lions. Detroit is well-rested following a Week 9 bye and should get back top rusher David Montgomery, who missed two games with a sprained knee.
Day/Time: Opening Total: 41.5 Points
Current Total: 43.5 Points
Arizona’s offense should get a boost with the return of Kyler Murray. It’ll be the first start in 11 months for the two-time Pro Bowler following an ACL tear. The Cardinals went 1-12 in Murray’s absence, including a 27-0 shutout loss to the Cleveland Browns last week. Rookie Clayton Tune was dismal, throwing for just 58 yards and a pair of interceptions.
Things can only improve for Arizona, hence the NFL Week 10 key line move.
Opening Total: Cowboys -10
Current Total: Cowboys -17
Easily the biggest mover this week, Dallas has gone from 10- to 17-point favorites over the rival Giants at home. New York is down to its third-string quarterback Tommy DeVito following injuries to Daniel Jones (torn ACL) and Tyrod Taylor (ribs). DeVito, an undrafted free agent out of Illinois, was merely adequate in last week’s 30-6 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders: 15 of 120 for 175 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions.
The Giants rank dead last in the NFL in scoring (11.2 PPG) and appear to be in tank mode. They don’t stand much of a chance against the Cowboys, winners of 11 straight games at home. The Cowboys are 3-0 ATS at AT&T Stadium this season.
Day/Time: Opening Total: Raiders +2
Current Total: Raiders -1
Aidan O’Connell, a fourth-round pick out of Purdue, will make his second straight start at quarterback in place of Jimmy Garoppolo. Although the jury’s still out on his potential, O’Connell’s ability to protect the ball should benefit the Raiders against one of the NFL’s best defenses. It’s no secret that Garoppolo (nine interceptions) struggled mightily in that department.